Proposed cuts to an existing grant program would force US ports to choose between issuing debt to keep capital improvements on schedule, thus raising their leverage positions, or delaying capital programs to allow cash from operations to accumulate, Fitch Ratings says. However, recent partnerships between regional ports could lower capital expenses in the long run for some entities, partially offsetting the cuts.

The 2018 federal budget proposes eliminating funding for the Transportation Investment Generating Economic Recovery (TIGER) grant program, on which many seaports rely to fund a portion of their capital improvement programs. A new grant program has been implemented, the Fostering Advancements in Shipping and Transportation for the Long-term Achievement of National Efficiencies (FASTLANE), which the federal government noted should make up for the removal of TIGER grants. However, FASTLANE mainly targets larger projects costing over $100 million. TIGER grants have historically been easier for ports to obtain and can be used for a broad array of project sizes and types.

The growth of partnerships between regional nearby ports could help some ports offset funding cuts by reducing capital expenses. Strategic alliances in which one port may focus on, for example, cold storage while its partner specializes in general bulk could mean lower capital expenditures for both.

Only a narrow range of partnerships, if any, will lower the cost of ports’ most expensive capital project: port deepening. Ports that are not yet accessible for post-Panamax ships face large capital expenditures to be post-Panamax ready. The only potential for savings related to port deepening is for ports within an alliance to focus on different sized ships, with one port deepening to accept post-Panamax ships while the other targets smaller ships.

The overall trend in shipping is towards larger ships and ports may still need to forge ahead with deepening projects over the long term. Additionally, most ports that are currently considering deepening projects are too far from others to make such an alliance on large-scale capex workable.

Partnerships also give ports more power when they negotiate fees with shipping companies. As shipping lines create larger alliances, negotiations tend to favor shippers. Ports can strive to balance this dynamic by creating alliances of their own. The Northwest Seaport Alliance, created by the ports of Seattle and Tacoma, which both serve the Puget Sound, have seen strong growth in volume after the creation of their strategic alliance.

The fiscal effectiveness of these port partnerships remains unclear. Fitch would not consider a rating or outlook change until the partnership has shown a positive and sustained impact on volume and other financial metrics, such as debt service coverage and leverage. Fitch’s 2017 outlook for U.S. ports is stable.